Every Bruins game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Bruins are 7-16 (30.4%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
How UCLA Bruins compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.
Close games (≤7 pt margin)
8 of 23 games match this window
Avg combined points
Close-game avg
60.6
Season avg
60.4
Pressure impact
+0.2
Avg flags
Close-game avg
11.8
Season avg
11.8
Pressure impact
+0.0
Over rate
Close-game avg
62.5%
Season avg
60.9%
Pressure impact
+1.6 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 23 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
8 of 23 games match this window
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Bruins games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Bruins went 7-16 (30.4%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Bruins.
Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.
Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
73.3
Season avg
60.4
Pressure impact
+12.9
Avg flags
Toss-up avg
13.1
Season avg
11.8
Pressure impact
+1.3
Over rate
Toss-up avg
87.5%
Season avg
60.9%
Pressure impact
+26.6 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 23 total games in sample