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Independent officiating analytics across professional sports. Ref Watch studies historical crew patterns for research, not predictions. Not affiliated with any league or sportsbook.

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UCF Knights

How the Knights play under each referee

Every Knights game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Knights are 2-10 (16.7%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.

Updated Aug 22, 2026, 9:10 p.m.·2020-2026 (2020-12-23 – 2025-11-29)

Knights record: 2-10 (16.7%)

No data available for this range

Close-game proxy

How UCF Knights compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.

Close games (≤7 pt margin)

4 of 12 games match this window

Avg combined points
Close-game avg
60
Season avg
57.4
Pressure impact
+2.6
Avg flags
Close-game avg
14
Season avg
12.9
Pressure impact
+1.1
Over rate
Close-game avg
75.0%
Season avg
58.3%
Pressure impact
+16.7 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 12 total games in sample

Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)

2 of 12 games match this window

Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
48
Season avg
57.4
Pressure impact
-9.4
Avg flags
Toss-up avg
16.5
Season avg
12.9
Pressure impact
+3.6
Over rate
Toss-up avg
50.0%
Season avg
58.3%
Pressure impact
-8.3 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 12 total games in sample

What am I looking at?

Individual refs: stats for one official across all Knights games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Knights went 2-10 (16.7%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Knights.

Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.