Every Longhorns game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Longhorns are 55-23 (70.5%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Close-game proxy
How Texas Longhorns compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.
Close games (≤7 pt margin)
28 of 78 games match this window
Avg combined points
- Close-game avg
- 59.3
- Season avg
- 56.9
- Pressure impact
- +2.4
Avg flags
- Close-game avg
- 13.3
- Season avg
- 12.3
- Pressure impact
- +1.0
Over rate
- Close-game avg
- 50.0%
- Season avg
- 47.4%
- Pressure impact
- +2.6 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 78 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
13 of 78 games match this window
Avg combined points
- Toss-up avg
- 61.7
- Season avg
- 56.9
- Pressure impact
- +4.8
Avg flags
- Toss-up avg
- 13.5
- Season avg
- 12.3
- Pressure impact
- +1.2
Over rate
- Toss-up avg
- 53.8%
- Season avg
- 47.4%
- Pressure impact
- +6.4 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 78 total games in sample
What am I looking at?
- Individual refs: stats for one official across all Longhorns games they worked, even with different partners.
- Team baseline: the Longhorns went 55-23 (70.5%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
- Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Longhorns.
Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.