Every Horned Frogs game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Horned Frogs are 47-28 (62.7%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Updated Aug 22, 2026, 9:10 p.m.·2020-2026 (2020-09-26 – 2025-12-31)
Horned Frogs record: 47-28 (62.7%)
No data available for this range
Close-game proxy
How TCU Horned Frogs compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.
Close games (≤7 pt margin)
30 of 75 games match this window
Avg combined points
Close-game avg
57.4
Season avg
60.3
Pressure impact
-2.9
Avg flags
Close-game avg
11.9
Season avg
11.4
Pressure impact
+0.5
Over rate
Close-game avg
63.3%
Season avg
62.7%
Pressure impact
+0.6 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 75 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
16 of 75 games match this window
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Horned Frogs games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Horned Frogs went 47-28 (62.7%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Horned Frogs.
Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.
Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
61.5
Season avg
60.3
Pressure impact
+1.2
Avg flags
Toss-up avg
11.1
Season avg
11.4
Pressure impact
-0.3
Over rate
Toss-up avg
75.0%
Season avg
62.7%
Pressure impact
+12.3 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 75 total games in sample