Every Cardinal game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Cardinal are 5-16 (23.8%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
How Stanford Cardinal compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.
Close games (≤7 pt margin)
6 of 21 games match this window
Avg combined points
Close-game avg
52
Season avg
55
Pressure impact
-3.0
Avg flags
Close-game avg
13.3
Season avg
11.7
Pressure impact
+1.6
Over rate
Close-game avg
50.0%
Season avg
52.4%
Pressure impact
-2.4 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 21 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
2 of 21 games match this window
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Cardinal games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Cardinal went 5-16 (23.8%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Cardinal.
Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.
Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
32
Season avg
55
Pressure impact
-23.0
Avg flags
Toss-up avg
13
Season avg
11.7
Pressure impact
+1.3
Over rate
Toss-up avg
0.0%
Season avg
52.4%
Pressure impact
-52.4 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 21 total games in sample