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Independent officiating analytics across professional sports. Ref Watch studies historical crew patterns for research, not predictions. Not affiliated with any league or sportsbook.

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SMU Mustangs

How the Mustangs play under each referee

Every Mustangs game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Mustangs are 7-8 (46.7%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.

Updated Aug 22, 2026, 9:10 p.m.·2020-2026 (2021-09-25 – 2025-11-22)

Mustangs record: 7-8 (46.7%)

No data available for this range

Close-game proxy

How SMU Mustangs compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.

Close games (≤7 pt margin)

5 of 15 games match this window

Avg combined points
Close-game avg
50.4
Season avg
58
Pressure impact
-7.6
Avg flags
Close-game avg
11.2
Season avg
12.7
Pressure impact
-1.5
Over rate
Close-game avg
40.0%
Season avg
53.3%
Pressure impact
-13.3 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 15 total games in sample

Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)

2 of 15 games match this window

What am I looking at?

Individual refs: stats for one official across all Mustangs games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Mustangs went 7-8 (46.7%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Mustangs.

Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.

Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
61.5
Season avg
58
Pressure impact
+3.5
Avg flags
Toss-up avg
10.5
Season avg
12.7
Pressure impact
-2.2
Over rate
Toss-up avg
50.0%
Season avg
53.3%
Pressure impact
-3.3 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 15 total games in sample