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Independent officiating analytics across professional sports. Ref Watch studies historical crew patterns for research, not predictions. Not affiliated with any league or sportsbook.

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Past patterns do not predict future outcomes. Ref Watch does not provide betting advice.

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Oregon Ducks

How the Ducks play under each referee

Every Ducks game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Ducks are 62-15 (80.5%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.

Updated Aug 22, 2026, 9:10 p.m.·2020-2026 (2020-11-08 – 2026-01-10)

Ducks record: 62-15 (80.5%)

No data available for this range

Close-game proxy

How Oregon Ducks compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.

Close games (≤7 pt margin)

21 of 77 games match this window

Avg combined points
Close-game avg
58.5
Season avg
58.8
Pressure impact
-0.3
Avg flags
Close-game avg
12.6
Season avg
12.2
Pressure impact
+0.4
Over rate
Close-game avg
52.4%
Season avg
54.5%
Pressure impact
-2.1 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 77 total games in sample

Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)

10 of 77 games match this window

What am I looking at?

Individual refs: stats for one official across all Ducks games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Ducks went 62-15 (80.5%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Ducks.

Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.

Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
53.5
Season avg
58.8
Pressure impact
-5.3
Avg flags
Toss-up avg
12
Season avg
12.2
Pressure impact
-0.2
Over rate
Toss-up avg
40.0%
Season avg
54.5%
Pressure impact
-14.5 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 77 total games in sample