Every Wildcats game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Wildcats are 3-11 (21.4%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Close-game proxy
How Northwestern Wildcats compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.
Close games (≤7 pt margin)
3 of 14 games match this window
Avg combined points
- Close-game avg
- 36.7
- Season avg
- 38.7
- Pressure impact
- -2.0
Avg flags
- Close-game avg
- 8.7
- Season avg
- 7.5
- Pressure impact
- +1.2
Over rate
- Close-game avg
- 0.0%
- Season avg
- 7.1%
- Pressure impact
- -7.1 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 14 total games in sample
What am I looking at?
- Individual refs: stats for one official across all Wildcats games they worked, even with different partners.
- Team baseline: the Wildcats went 3-11 (21.4%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
- Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Wildcats.
Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.