Every Fighting Irish game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Fighting Irish are 4-6 (40.0%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
How Notre Dame Fighting Irish compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.
Close games (≤7 pt margin)
3 of 10 games match this window
Avg combined points
Close-game avg
60.3
Season avg
54.6
Pressure impact
+5.7
Avg flags
Close-game avg
11.3
Season avg
10.4
Pressure impact
+0.9
Over rate
Close-game avg
33.3%
Season avg
30.0%
Pressure impact
+3.3 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 10 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
1 of 10 games match this window
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Fighting Irish games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Fighting Irish went 4-6 (40.0%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Fighting Irish.
Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.
Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
65
Season avg
54.6
Pressure impact
+10.4
Avg flags
Toss-up avg
10
Season avg
10.4
Pressure impact
-0.4
Over rate
Toss-up avg
100.0%
Season avg
30.0%
Pressure impact
+70.0 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 10 total games in sample