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Independent officiating analytics across professional sports. Ref Watch studies historical crew patterns for research, not predictions. Not affiliated with any league or sportsbook.

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NC State Wolfpack

How the Wolfpack play under each referee

Every Wolfpack game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Wolfpack are 5-3 (62.5%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.

Updated Aug 22, 2026, 9:10 p.m.·2020-2026 (2020-11-15 – 2022-11-19)

Wolfpack record: 5-3 (62.5%)

No data available for this range

Close-game proxy

How NC State Wolfpack compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.

Close games (≤7 pt margin)

3 of 8 games match this window

Avg combined points
Close-game avg
48.3
Season avg
46.6
Pressure impact
+1.7
Avg flags
Close-game avg
19
Season avg
15.6
Pressure impact
+3.4
Over rate
Close-game avg
33.3%
Season avg
25.0%
Pressure impact
+8.3 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 8 total games in sample

Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)

4 of 8 games match this window

What am I looking at?

Individual refs: stats for one official across all Wolfpack games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Wolfpack went 5-3 (62.5%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Wolfpack.

Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.

Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
43.5
Season avg
46.6
Pressure impact
-3.1
Avg flags
Toss-up avg
14
Season avg
15.6
Pressure impact
-1.6
Over rate
Toss-up avg
25.0%
Season avg
25.0%
Pressure impact
+0.0 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 8 total games in sample