Michigan State Spartans
How the Spartans play under each referee
Every Spartans game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Spartans are 4-17 (19.0%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Close-game proxy
How Michigan State Spartans compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.
Close games (≤7 pt margin)
4 of 21 games match this window
Avg combined points
- Close-game avg
- 54.8
- Season avg
- 53.2
- Pressure impact
- +1.6
Avg flags
- Close-game avg
- 11.3
- Season avg
- 12.3
- Pressure impact
- -1.0
Over rate
- Close-game avg
- 50.0%
- Season avg
- 38.1%
- Pressure impact
- +11.9 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 21 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
3 of 21 games match this window
Avg combined points
- Toss-up avg
- 64.7
- Season avg
- 53.2
- Pressure impact
- +11.5
Avg flags
- Toss-up avg
- 12.7
- Season avg
- 12.3
- Pressure impact
- +0.4
Over rate
- Toss-up avg
- 100.0%
- Season avg
- 38.1%
- Pressure impact
- +61.9 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 21 total games in sample
What am I looking at?
- Individual refs: stats for one official across all Spartans games they worked, even with different partners.
- Team baseline: the Spartans went 4-17 (19.0%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
- Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Spartans.
Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.