Skip to content

ResearchCompare

Overview Officials Teams Research

About Ref Watch

Independent officiating analytics across professional sports. Ref Watch studies historical crew patterns for research, not predictions. Not affiliated with any league or sportsbook.

Explore

Basketball

NBA
WNBA
NCAA Basketball

Football (U.S.)

NFL
NCAA Football

Hockey

NHL

Football

Premier League
La Liga
Serie A
Ligue 1
Bundesliga

Trust & Methods

Referee analytics
Methodology
Validation
About
Compare

Company

Contact

Historical research only

Past patterns do not predict future outcomes. Ref Watch does not provide betting advice.

Responsible-use support: 1-866-531-2600 · ConnexOntario, 24/7

© 2026 Ref Watch

Privacy Terms Accessibility Data policy

Mississippi State Bulldogs

How the Bulldogs play under each referee

Every Bulldogs game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Bulldogs are 3-19 (13.6%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.

Updated Sep 30, 2026, 12:31 a.m.·2020-2026 (2020-09-26 – 2025-11-08)

Bulldogs record: 3-19 (13.6%)

No data available for this range

Close-game proxy

How Mississippi State Bulldogs compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.

Close games (≤7 pt margin)

6 of 22 games match this window

Avg combined points
Close-game avg
63.7
Season avg
57.8
Pressure impact
+5.9
Avg flags
Close-game avg
13.5
Season avg
13.3
Pressure impact
+0.2
Over rate
Close-game avg
50.0%
Season avg
50.0%
Pressure impact
+0.0 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 22 total games in sample

Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)

4 of 22 games match this window

What am I looking at?

Individual refs: stats for one official across all Bulldogs games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Bulldogs went 3-19 (13.6%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Bulldogs.

Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.

Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
52.8
Season avg
57.8
Pressure impact
-5.0
Avg flags
Toss-up avg
12.5
Season avg
13.3
Pressure impact
-0.8
Over rate
Toss-up avg
25.0%
Season avg
50.0%
Pressure impact
-25.0 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 22 total games in sample