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Independent officiating analytics across professional sports. Ref Watch studies historical crew patterns for research, not predictions. Not affiliated with any league or sportsbook.

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Mississippi State Bulldogs

How the Bulldogs play under each referee

Every Bulldogs game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Bulldogs are 3-19 (13.6%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.

Updated Aug 22, 2026, 9:10 p.m.·2020-2026 (2020-09-26 – 2025-11-08)

Bulldogs record: 3-19 (13.6%)

No data available for this range

Close-game proxy

How Mississippi State Bulldogs compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.

Close games (≤7 pt margin)

6 of 22 games match this window

Avg combined points
Close-game avg
63.7
Season avg
57.8
Pressure impact
+5.9
Avg flags
Close-game avg
13.5
Season avg
13.3
Pressure impact
+0.2
Over rate
Close-game avg
50.0%
Season avg
50.0%
Pressure impact
+0.0 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 22 total games in sample

Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)

4 of 22 games match this window

Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
52.8
Season avg
57.8
Pressure impact
-5.0
Avg flags
Toss-up avg
12.5
Season avg
13.3
Pressure impact
-0.8
Over rate
Toss-up avg
25.0%
Season avg
50.0%
Pressure impact
-25.0 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 22 total games in sample

What am I looking at?

Individual refs: stats for one official across all Bulldogs games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Bulldogs went 3-19 (13.6%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Bulldogs.

Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.