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Independent officiating analytics across professional sports. Ref Watch studies historical crew patterns for research, not predictions. Not affiliated with any league or sportsbook.

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Ole Miss Rebels

How the Rebels play under each referee

Every Rebels game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Rebels are 13-14 (48.1%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.

Updated Aug 22, 2026, 9:10 p.m.·2020-2026 (2020-09-26 – 2026-01-09)

Rebels record: 13-14 (48.1%)

No data available for this range

Close-game proxy

How Ole Miss Rebels compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.

Close games (≤7 pt margin)

11 of 27 games match this window

Avg combined points
Close-game avg
63.5
Season avg
63.4
Pressure impact
+0.1
Avg flags
Close-game avg
13.3
Season avg
12.9
Pressure impact
+0.4
Over rate
Close-game avg
54.5%
Season avg
63.0%
Pressure impact
-8.5 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 27 total games in sample

Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)

6 of 27 games match this window

What am I looking at?

Individual refs: stats for one official across all Rebels games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Rebels went 13-14 (48.1%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Rebels.

Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.

Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
65.8
Season avg
63.4
Pressure impact
+2.4
Avg flags
Toss-up avg
12.5
Season avg
12.9
Pressure impact
-0.4
Over rate
Toss-up avg
83.3%
Season avg
63.0%
Pressure impact
+20.3 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 27 total games in sample