Michigan Wolverines
How the Wolverines play under each referee
Every Wolverines game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Wolverines are 59-16 (78.7%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Close-game proxy
How Michigan Wolverines compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.
Close games (≤7 pt margin)
21 of 75 games match this window
Avg combined points
- Close-game avg
- 50.7
- Season avg
- 50.3
- Pressure impact
- +0.4
Avg flags
- Close-game avg
- 9.1
- Season avg
- 9
- Pressure impact
- +0.1
Over rate
- Close-game avg
- 28.6%
- Season avg
- 34.7%
- Pressure impact
- -6.1 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 75 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
8 of 75 games match this window
Avg combined points
- Toss-up avg
- 58.5
- Season avg
- 50.3
- Pressure impact
- +8.2
Avg flags
- Toss-up avg
- 11.3
- Season avg
- 9
- Pressure impact
- +2.3
Over rate
- Toss-up avg
- 62.5%
- Season avg
- 34.7%
- Pressure impact
- +27.8 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 75 total games in sample
What am I looking at?
- Individual refs: stats for one official across all Wolverines games they worked, even with different partners.
- Team baseline: the Wolverines went 59-16 (78.7%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
- Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Wolverines.
Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.