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Independent officiating analytics across professional sports. Ref Watch studies historical crew patterns for research, not predictions. Not affiliated with any league or sportsbook.

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Historical research only

Past patterns do not predict future outcomes. Ref Watch does not provide betting advice.

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Michigan Wolverines

How the Wolverines play under each referee

Every Wolverines game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Wolverines are 59-16 (78.7%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.

Updated Sep 30, 2026, 12:31 a.m.·2020-2026 (2020-10-24 – 2025-12-31)

Wolverines record: 59-16 (78.7%)

No data available for this range

Close-game proxy

How Michigan Wolverines compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.

Close games (≤7 pt margin)

21 of 75 games match this window

Avg combined points
Close-game avg
50.7
Season avg
50.3
Pressure impact
+0.4
Avg flags
Close-game avg
9.1
Season avg
9
Pressure impact
+0.1
Over rate
Close-game avg
28.6%
Season avg
34.7%
Pressure impact
-6.1 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 75 total games in sample

Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)

8 of 75 games match this window

What am I looking at?

Individual refs: stats for one official across all Wolverines games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Wolverines went 59-16 (78.7%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Wolverines.

Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.

Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
58.5
Season avg
50.3
Pressure impact
+8.2
Avg flags
Toss-up avg
11.3
Season avg
9
Pressure impact
+2.3
Over rate
Toss-up avg
62.5%
Season avg
34.7%
Pressure impact
+27.8 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 75 total games in sample