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Independent officiating analytics across professional sports. Ref Watch studies historical crew patterns for research, not predictions. Not affiliated with any league or sportsbook.

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Miami Hurricanes

How the Hurricanes play under each referee

Every Hurricanes game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Hurricanes are 42-24 (63.6%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.

Updated Aug 22, 2026, 9:10 p.m.·2020-2026 (2021-09-04 – 2026-01-20)

Hurricanes record: 42-24 (63.6%)

No data available for this range

Close-game proxy

How Miami Hurricanes compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.

Close games (≤7 pt margin)

28 of 66 games match this window

Avg combined points
Close-game avg
57.1
Season avg
55.9
Pressure impact
+1.2
Avg flags
Close-game avg
13
Season avg
12.6
Pressure impact
+0.4
Over rate
Close-game avg
46.4%
Season avg
47.0%
Pressure impact
-0.6 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 66 total games in sample

Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)

9 of 66 games match this window

What am I looking at?

Individual refs: stats for one official across all Hurricanes games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Hurricanes went 42-24 (63.6%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Hurricanes.

Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.

Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
48.1
Season avg
55.9
Pressure impact
-7.8
Avg flags
Toss-up avg
13.6
Season avg
12.6
Pressure impact
+1.0
Over rate
Toss-up avg
55.6%
Season avg
47.0%
Pressure impact
+8.6 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 66 total games in sample