LSU Tigers
How the Tigers play under each referee
Every Tigers game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Tigers are 47-29 (61.8%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Close-game proxy
How LSU Tigers compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.
Close games (≤7 pt margin)
28 of 76 games match this window
Avg combined points
- Close-game avg
- 54.4
- Season avg
- 57.6
- Pressure impact
- -3.2
Avg flags
- Close-game avg
- 13
- Season avg
- 12.4
- Pressure impact
- +0.6
Over rate
- Close-game avg
- 35.7%
- Season avg
- 50.0%
- Pressure impact
- -14.3 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 76 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
17 of 76 games match this window
Avg combined points
- Toss-up avg
- 58.6
- Season avg
- 57.6
- Pressure impact
- +1.0
Avg flags
- Toss-up avg
- 11.8
- Season avg
- 12.4
- Pressure impact
- -0.6
Over rate
- Toss-up avg
- 52.9%
- Season avg
- 50.0%
- Pressure impact
- +2.9 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 76 total games in sample
What am I looking at?
- Individual refs: stats for one official across all Tigers games they worked, even with different partners.
- Team baseline: the Tigers went 47-29 (61.8%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
- Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Tigers.
Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.