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Independent officiating analytics across professional sports. Ref Watch studies historical crew patterns for research, not predictions. Not affiliated with any league or sportsbook.

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Past patterns do not predict future outcomes. Ref Watch does not provide betting advice.

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LSU Tigers

How the Tigers play under each referee

Every Tigers game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Tigers are 47-29 (61.8%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.

Updated Sep 30, 2026, 12:31 a.m.·2020-2026 (2020-09-26 – 2025-12-28)

Tigers record: 47-29 (61.8%)

No data available for this range

Close-game proxy

How LSU Tigers compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.

Close games (≤7 pt margin)

28 of 76 games match this window

Avg combined points
Close-game avg
54.4
Season avg
57.6
Pressure impact
-3.2
Avg flags
Close-game avg
13
Season avg
12.4
Pressure impact
+0.6
Over rate
Close-game avg
35.7%
Season avg
50.0%
Pressure impact
-14.3 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 76 total games in sample

Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)

17 of 76 games match this window

What am I looking at?

Individual refs: stats for one official across all Tigers games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Tigers went 47-29 (61.8%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Tigers.

Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.

Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
58.6
Season avg
57.6
Pressure impact
+1.0
Avg flags
Toss-up avg
11.8
Season avg
12.4
Pressure impact
-0.6
Over rate
Toss-up avg
52.9%
Season avg
50.0%
Pressure impact
+2.9 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 76 total games in sample