Iowa State Cyclones
How the Cyclones play under each referee
Every Cyclones game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Cyclones are 16-10 (61.5%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Close-game proxy
How Iowa State Cyclones compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.
Close games (≤7 pt margin)
13 of 26 games match this window
Avg combined points
- Close-game avg
- 52
- Season avg
- 52.7
- Pressure impact
- -0.7
Avg flags
- Close-game avg
- 11.2
- Season avg
- 10.5
- Pressure impact
- +0.7
Over rate
- Close-game avg
- 38.5%
- Season avg
- 38.5%
- Pressure impact
- +0.0 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 26 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
8 of 26 games match this window
Avg combined points
- Toss-up avg
- 44.3
- Season avg
- 52.7
- Pressure impact
- -8.4
Avg flags
- Toss-up avg
- 10.6
- Season avg
- 10.5
- Pressure impact
- +0.1
Over rate
- Toss-up avg
- 12.5%
- Season avg
- 38.5%
- Pressure impact
- -26.0 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 26 total games in sample
What am I looking at?
- Individual refs: stats for one official across all Cyclones games they worked, even with different partners.
- Team baseline: the Cyclones went 16-10 (61.5%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
- Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Cyclones.
Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.