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Independent officiating analytics across professional sports. Ref Watch studies historical crew patterns for research, not predictions. Not affiliated with any league or sportsbook.

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Illinois Fighting Illini

How the Fighting Illini play under each referee

Every Fighting Illini game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Fighting Illini are 4-9 (30.8%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.

Updated Aug 22, 2026, 9:10 p.m.·2020-2026 (2020-12-19 – 2025-12-30)

Fighting Illini record: 4-9 (30.8%)

No data available for this range

Close-game proxy

How Illinois Fighting Illini compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.

Close games (≤7 pt margin)

5 of 13 games match this window

Avg combined points
Close-game avg
48.8
Season avg
47.8
Pressure impact
+1.0
Avg flags
Close-game avg
11
Season avg
10.6
Pressure impact
+0.4
Over rate
Close-game avg
40.0%
Season avg
30.8%
Pressure impact
+9.2 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 13 total games in sample

Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)

1 of 13 games match this window

What am I looking at?

Individual refs: stats for one official across all Fighting Illini games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Fighting Illini went 4-9 (30.8%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Fighting Illini.

Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.

Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
58
Season avg
47.8
Pressure impact
+10.2
Avg flags
Toss-up avg
8
Season avg
10.6
Pressure impact
-2.6
Over rate
Toss-up avg
100.0%
Season avg
30.8%
Pressure impact
+69.2 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 13 total games in sample