Florida State Seminoles
How the Seminoles play under each referee
Every Seminoles game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Seminoles are 38-32 (54.3%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Close-game proxy
How Florida State Seminoles compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.
Close games (≤7 pt margin)
23 of 70 games match this window
Avg combined points
- Close-game avg
- 52.1
- Season avg
- 53.6
- Pressure impact
- -1.5
Avg flags
- Close-game avg
- 15.5
- Season avg
- 13.6
- Pressure impact
- +1.9
Over rate
- Close-game avg
- 43.5%
- Season avg
- 47.1%
- Pressure impact
- -3.6 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 70 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
16 of 70 games match this window
Avg combined points
- Toss-up avg
- 57.2
- Season avg
- 53.6
- Pressure impact
- +3.6
Avg flags
- Toss-up avg
- 14.3
- Season avg
- 13.6
- Pressure impact
- +0.7
Over rate
- Toss-up avg
- 56.3%
- Season avg
- 47.1%
- Pressure impact
- +9.2 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 70 total games in sample
What am I looking at?
- Individual refs: stats for one official across all Seminoles games they worked, even with different partners.
- Team baseline: the Seminoles went 38-32 (54.3%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
- Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Seminoles.
Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.