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Independent officiating analytics across professional sports. Ref Watch studies historical crew patterns for research, not predictions. Not affiliated with any league or sportsbook.

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Historical research only

Past patterns do not predict future outcomes. Ref Watch does not provide betting advice.

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Cincinnati Bearcats

How the Bearcats play under each referee

Every Bearcats game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Bearcats are 0-10 (0.0%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.

Updated Sep 30, 2026, 12:31 a.m.·2020-2026 (2021-01-01 – 2025-11-29)

Bearcats record: 0-10 (0.0%)

No data available for this range

Close-game proxy

How Cincinnati Bearcats compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.

Close games (≤7 pt margin)

2 of 10 games match this window

Avg combined points
Close-game avg
39
Season avg
45.3
Pressure impact
-6.3
Avg flags
Close-game avg
12.5
Season avg
10.6
Pressure impact
+1.9
Over rate
Close-game avg
0.0%
Season avg
40.0%
Pressure impact
-40.0 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 10 total games in sample

Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)

2 of 10 games match this window

What am I looking at?

Individual refs: stats for one official across all Bearcats games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Bearcats went 0-10 (0.0%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Bearcats.

Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.

Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
49.5
Season avg
45.3
Pressure impact
+4.2
Avg flags
Toss-up avg
9.5
Season avg
10.6
Pressure impact
-1.1
Over rate
Toss-up avg
50.0%
Season avg
40.0%
Pressure impact
+10.0 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 10 total games in sample