Every Eagles game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Eagles are 3-12 (20.0%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
How Boston College Eagles compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.
Close games (≤7 pt margin)
7 of 15 games match this window
Avg combined points
Close-game avg
55.6
Season avg
55.1
Pressure impact
+0.5
Avg flags
Close-game avg
16.3
Season avg
12.3
Pressure impact
+4.0
Over rate
Close-game avg
71.4%
Season avg
60.0%
Pressure impact
+11.4 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 15 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
3 of 15 games match this window
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Eagles games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Eagles went 3-12 (20.0%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Eagles.
Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.
Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
50.7
Season avg
55.1
Pressure impact
-4.4
Avg flags
Toss-up avg
12.3
Season avg
12.3
Pressure impact
+0.0
Over rate
Toss-up avg
33.3%
Season avg
60.0%
Pressure impact
-26.7 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 15 total games in sample