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Independent officiating analytics across professional sports. Ref Watch studies historical crew patterns for research, not predictions. Not affiliated with any league or sportsbook.

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Past patterns do not predict future outcomes. Ref Watch does not provide betting advice.

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Baylor Bears

How the Bears play under each referee

Every Bears game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Bears are 8-18 (30.8%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.

Updated Sep 30, 2026, 12:31 a.m.·2020-2026 (2020-10-24 – 2025-11-16)

Bears record: 8-18 (30.8%)

No data available for this range

Close-game proxy

How Baylor Bears compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.

Close games (≤7 pt margin)

11 of 26 games match this window

Avg combined points
Close-game avg
60.5
Season avg
56.9
Pressure impact
+3.6
Avg flags
Close-game avg
12.5
Season avg
10.9
Pressure impact
+1.6
Over rate
Close-game avg
72.7%
Season avg
61.5%
Pressure impact
+11.2 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 26 total games in sample

Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)

10 of 26 games match this window

What am I looking at?

Individual refs: stats for one official across all Bears games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Bears went 8-18 (30.8%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Bears.

Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.

Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
51.7
Season avg
56.9
Pressure impact
-5.2
Avg flags
Toss-up avg
10.9
Season avg
10.9
Pressure impact
+0.0
Over rate
Toss-up avg
50.0%
Season avg
61.5%
Pressure impact
-11.5 pp

Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 26 total games in sample