Every Sun Devils game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Sun Devils are 7-11 (38.9%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Close-game proxy
How Arizona State Sun Devils compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.
Close games (≤7 pt margin)
5 of 18 games match this window
Avg combined points
- Close-game avg
- 61
- Season avg
- 54.7
- Pressure impact
- +6.3
Avg flags
- Close-game avg
- 12.4
- Season avg
- 12.9
- Pressure impact
- -0.5
Over rate
- Close-game avg
- 40.0%
- Season avg
- 44.4%
- Pressure impact
- -4.4 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 18 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
2 of 18 games match this window
Avg combined points
- Toss-up avg
- 50
- Season avg
- 54.7
- Pressure impact
- -4.7
Avg flags
- Toss-up avg
- 18.5
- Season avg
- 12.9
- Pressure impact
- +5.6
Over rate
- Toss-up avg
- 50.0%
- Season avg
- 44.4%
- Pressure impact
- +5.6 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 18 total games in sample
What am I looking at?
- Individual refs: stats for one official across all Sun Devils games they worked, even with different partners.
- Team baseline: the Sun Devils went 7-11 (38.9%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
- Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Sun Devils.
Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.