Every Crimson Tide game grouped by individual referee. Over this sample the Crimson Tide are 69-14 (83.1%); each ref win rate below is compared to that team average.
Updated Aug 22, 2026, 9:10 p.m.·2020-2026 (2020-09-26 – 2026-01-01)
Crimson Tide record: 69-14 (83.1%)
Qualified refs in this table account for 60 of 83 team matches (72%) in this sample. Table lists refs with 8+ games.
#RefWin ratevs baselineClose gamesOpponent whistle volume minus team volume per game. Positive means your team is whistled less (or the opponent more), a favorable minors/flags edge.
How Alabama Crimson Tide compares in close-margin games vs the full sample. Based on official box scores.
Close games (≤7 pt margin)
26 of 83 games match this window
Avg combined points
Close-game avg
55.7
Season avg
56.5
Pressure impact
-0.8
Avg flags
Close-game avg
13.5
Season avg
12.3
Pressure impact
+1.2
Over rate
Close-game avg
30.8%
Season avg
50.6%
Pressure impact
-19.8 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 83 total games in sample
Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5)
3 of 83 games match this window
Avg combined points
Toss-up avg
48
Season avg
56.5
Pressure impact
-8.5
Avg flags
Toss-up avg
11
Season avg
12.3
Pressure impact
-1.3
Over rate
Toss-up avg
33.3%
Season avg
50.6%
Pressure impact
-17.3 pp
Over benchmark: 55.3 combined points · Seasons: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 83 total games in sample
What am I looking at?
Individual refs: stats for one official across all Crimson Tide games they worked, even with different partners.
Team baseline: the Crimson Tide went 69-14 (83.1%) across this sample. Ref win rates show how they compare to that team average.
Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Crimson Tide.
Scores and penalties from ESPN (1426 live-conference games, 474 with Sidearm officials). Coverage: 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26. 692 officials with game-level crew assignments. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.