CFB ·
Evidence-first read: conclusion first, then methodology, measured deltas, and sample limits.
Conclusion
CFB combined scoring down 8.9 points since 2020-21
League average fell from 60.4 points in 2020-21 to 51.5 in 2025-26 across live-conference games.
Rule and category
league trend
Season baselines from verified ESPN game logs. Descriptive league trend, not a forecast.
Evidence
Measured deltas in sample
- 2020-21 avg: 60.4 (165 games)
- 2025-26 avg: 51.5 (254 games)
- Multi-year change: -8.9 (Combined points per game)
Related context
Profiles and splits to verify
Follow linked officials and teams to see whether adjacent samples support or contradict this pattern. Unresolved splits stay descriptive until sample gates clear.
Uncertainty
Sample and limits
Sample: 419 games over 6 seasons (2020–2026)
Historical context
Where this sits in the dataset
Ranked with other CFB findings by effect size and sample depth. Use the tendency index and team-with-official history table for broader crew history after reading the measured deltas above.
- 2020-21 avg
- 60.4
- 165 games
- 2025-26 avg
- 51.5
- 254 games
- Multi-year change
- -8.9
- Combined points per game
Methodology
- Findings ranked by effect size × √sample size with category deduplication.
- Sample gates: 30+ ref games, 8+ team splits, 30+ ATS decisions where applicable.
- Estimated closing lines disclosed where applicable, not betting advice.
- Full methodology →