Analytics and intelligence, bias modeling for the 3rd team on the court.
This page tracks multi-season NCAA Basketball scoring and fouls called trends against league baselines. Figures come from 9,885 games with season scope controls below. Expect descriptive trend tables and narratives, not forecasts or picks.
This page summarizes historical referee patterns in NCAA Basketball games, including scoring, fouls called, and how often games finished above a fixed benchmark. CBB = college basketball.
These are historical associations, not predictions. They do not show that an official caused the scoring or fouls called differences. Not betting advice.
League context
points per game
+5.3 vs prior season
per game
points combined
Fixed reference for over/under rate
Recent high-confidence patterns
Scoring
Scoring delta vs avg
Games officiated by Jason Garretson have averaged 8.2 more combined points than the league average.
Whistle
League scoring increased by 5.3 pts year over year (2024-25 to 2025-26). Fouls rose (+1.0 fouls).
| Season | Games | Avg total pts | Avg fouls |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-21 | 1,295 | 142.6 | 34.5 |
| 2021-22 | 1,731 | 140 | 33.1 |
| 2022-23 | 1,736 | 141 | 33.3 |
| 2023-24 | 1,728 | 147.2 | 33.6 |
| 2024-25 | 1,693 | 147.5 | 33.9 |
| 2025-26 |
Whistle delta vs avg
Games officiated by Gerald Williams have averaged 3.0 more fouls called than the league average.
Scoring
Scoring delta vs avg
Games officiated by Randy Heimerman have averaged 8.4 fewer combined points than the league average.
Whistle
Whistle delta vs avg
Games officiated by Bill Jacobson have averaged 4.1 fewer fouls called than the league average.
| 1,702 |
| 152.8 |
| 34.9 |