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Jimmy Russell leads the pool on under frequency
This page documents a NFL officiating research finding. 44. The analysis uses 2,026 games (Strong confidence). Expect descriptive historical stats with methodology links, not predictions or betting advice.
Interpretation: Personal over rate tracks how often this official's games clear the fixed 44.2-points benchmark. Descriptive frequency, not sportsbook pricing.
44.8% of Jimmy Russell's 87 games finish under 44.2 combined total points, 5.2 pts from a neutral 50% baseline.
- Under benchmark
- 44.8%
- 87 games
- Delta vs baseline
- -0.5 total points
- vs 46 league avg
Methodology
- Findings ranked by effect size × √sample size with category deduplication.
- Sample gates: 30+ ref games, 8+ team splits, 30+ ATS decisions where applicable.
- Estimated closing lines disclosed where applicable, not betting advice.
- Full methodology →