NFL ·
Evidence-first read: conclusion first, then methodology, measured deltas, and sample limits.
Conclusion
Bill Vinovich with Mike McCarthy: higher combined penalty flags game environment than ref average
Coach pairing over 5 shared games. Compares whistle volume with this coach's team to the official's career average. Descriptive only, not a prediction.
Rule and category
coach friction
In 5 shared games, combined penalty flags averaged 9.4 per game with Mike McCarthy's team. Career baseline: 5.4 combined penalty flags per game.
Evidence
Measured deltas in sample
- Coach pairing: 9.4 (+4.0 penalty flags vs ref baseline)
- Baseline: 5.4 (5 head-to-head games)
- Personnel: Mike McCarthy (DAL)
Related context
Profiles and splits to verify
Follow linked officials and teams to see whether adjacent samples support or contradict this pattern. Unresolved splits stay descriptive until sample gates clear.
Uncertainty
Sample and limits
Sample: 5 games over 0 seasons (-)
Historical context
Where this sits in the dataset
Ranked with other NFL findings by effect size and sample depth. Use the tendency index and team-with-official history table for broader crew history after reading the measured deltas above.
- Coach pairing
- 9.4
- +4.0 penalty flags vs ref baseline
- Baseline
- 5.4
- 5 head-to-head games
- Personnel
- Mike McCarthy
- DAL
Methodology
- Findings ranked by effect size × √sample size with category deduplication.
- Sample gates: 30+ ref games, 8+ team splits, 30+ ATS decisions where applicable.
- Estimated closing lines disclosed where applicable, not betting advice.
- Full methodology →