Score vs average
38.7
-6.8 vs league average
18 games · limited sample
NFL official stats and assignments
NFL official
Limited sample: 18 games across 1 season
Treat these patterns as early signals. Metrics stay visible, but confidence is below the 30-game publication gate.
NFL official profile
Official · NFL
Score vs average
38.7
-6.8 vs league average
18 games · limited sample
Flags vs average
12.8
+0.4 vs league average
18 games · limited sample
Close-game scoring
39.0
+0.3 vs league in tight games
8 close games
Typical historical game environment associated with this official. Descriptive history only.
Slightly lower-scoring environment
Insufficient evidence
Games officiated by this official averaged 38.7 combined points, 6.3 fewer points per game than the league average.
League average 45 combined points
Near-average flags volume
Insufficient evidence
Flags volume tracks the league baseline (12.8, +0.8).
League average 12 flags
Fewer late-game whistles
Insufficient evidence
In close finishes, whistle rate historically drops versus earlier periods after intentional-foul filtering.
Late-game profile: Swallows Whistle
High game-to-game volatility
Insufficient evidence
Whistle volume swings more game to game than most peers in the scouting sample window.
Descriptive stability of whistle volume, not a market forecast
Limited sample
Limited evidence
Only 18 games clear the current publishing window for this official.
Team performance comparisons are withheld until same-window team baselines clear sample gates. Raw records alone can overstate the official's relationship with strong or weak teams.
Scoring, whistle, and stability context from this official's verified sample versus league averages. Descriptive history only. Window: 2021-2026.
Whistle volume, penalty disposition, and high-leverage game-state tendencies.
Official Brandon Ellison profiles as a rule-enforcer (high admin ratio) over the last 18 games. Tends to call 16% more subjective flags in recent sample. Whistle volume stays relatively stable in high-stakes settings.
Not enough games for reliable metrics yet (N=18). Outcome splits appear after the sample gate clears.
Late-game whistle tendency versus earlier periods. Zero on the scale is the neutral / no-shift anchor for this official (same whistle rate late as earlier), not a league average and not a betting recommendation.
Explore officials who frequently work with this official or show similar historical officiating patterns.
Officials who have appeared on the same crew most often in the available dataset.
Similarity is descriptive and based on available historical metrics. It does not imply identical decision-making.
Pre-Game Context
Refficacy Dimensions
This officialLeague norm (50)
How often this crew whistles during opponent scoring runs.
Combined scoring in this crew's games versus league average.
Contact and administrative whistle share relative to league norms.
Home versus away whistle or cover patterns in this crew's sample.
2 metrics excluded due to insufficient event data
Preliminary fingerprint - sample still building toward the published gate.
Against the spread: whether the home team beat the sportsbook point spread (not just who won). A home line of −5.5 means the home team must win by 6+ to cover. and Did both teams’ combined score finish above (over) or below (under) the closing total set by sportsbooks before tip-off? tables use The spread and total sportsbooks posted near tip-off. ATS and O/U tables here use that number, not our fixed 225 benchmark. per game. ATS/O-U results are shown only where external closing-line data is available. Team penalty splits live on team pages. Tonight's assignment signals are on the NFL home page.
Ref×team W-L rebuilt from 2793 ESPN game logs (2016-2026). 4629/5986 ref×team pairs meet the 3+ game matrix gate. Ties are excluded from straight-up W-L. Ref game counts rebuilt from DISTINCT game_id in game logs.