NBA ·
Evidence-first read: conclusion first, then methodology, measured deltas, and sample limits.
Conclusion
Dannica Baroody runs elevated foul pace with over-benchmark scoring in sample
Dannica Baroody averages 41.4 fouls (+0.6 vs league) yet only 73.9% of games beat 222 points.
Rule and category
whistle extreme
Strong- and moderate-confidence patterns only. Ranked by effect size within each tier.
Evidence
Measured deltas in sample
- Fouls per game: 41.4 (+0.6 vs league avg)
- Over benchmark: 73.9% (372 games)
- Avg combined score: 223.1 (+1.1 vs 222)
Related context
Profiles and splits to verify
Follow linked officials and teams to see whether adjacent samples support or contradict this pattern. Unresolved splits stay descriptive until sample gates clear.
Uncertainty
Sample and limits
Sample: 372 games over 10 seasons (2016–2026)
Historical context
Where this sits in the dataset
Ranked with other NBA findings by effect size and sample depth. Use the tendency index and team-with-official history table for broader crew history after reading the measured deltas above.
- Fouls per game
- 41.4
- +0.6 vs league avg
- Over benchmark
- 73.9%
- 372 games
- Avg combined score
- 223.1
- +1.1 vs 222
Methodology
- Findings ranked by effect size × √sample size with category deduplication.
- Sample gates: 30+ ref games, 8+ team splits, 30+ ATS decisions where applicable.
- Estimated closing lines disclosed where applicable, not betting advice.
- Full methodology →