NBA ·
Evidence-first read: conclusion first, then methodology, measured deltas, and sample limits.
Conclusion
Brett Nansel runs +1.2 on combined scoring
Brett Nansel's 398 games average 223.2 combined points (73.1% over 222), one of the largest scoring deltas in the pool.
Rule and category
ref outlier
Strong- and moderate-confidence patterns only. Ranked by effect size within each tier.
Evidence
Measured deltas in sample
- Scoring delta: +1.2 (vs 222 league avg)
- Over benchmark: 73.1% (398 games)
- Avg fouls: 41 (+0.2 vs league)
Related context
Profiles and splits to verify
Follow linked officials and teams to see whether adjacent samples support or contradict this pattern. Unresolved splits stay descriptive until sample gates clear.
Uncertainty
Sample and limits
Sample: 398 games over 10 seasons (2016–2026)
Historical context
Where this sits in the dataset
Ranked with other NBA findings by effect size and sample depth. Use the tendency index and team-with-official history table for broader crew history after reading the measured deltas above.
- Scoring delta
- +1.2
- vs 222 league avg
- Over benchmark
- 73.1%
- 398 games
- Avg fouls
- 41
- +0.2 vs league
Methodology
- Findings ranked by effect size × √sample size with category deduplication.
- Sample gates: 30+ ref games, 8+ team splits, 30+ ATS decisions where applicable.
- Estimated closing lines disclosed where applicable, not betting advice.
- Full methodology →