NBA ·
Evidence-first read: conclusion first, then methodology, measured deltas, and sample limits.
Conclusion
Among officials with 50+ games, 52 of 52 beat the 222-point benchmark in a majority of their own games, not that every game went over.
Rule and category
Personal over rate counts how often each ref's games clear the benchmark. League-wide, roughly 69.8% of games in this pool finished over. The list includes Dannica Baroody, Marat Kogut, Brett Nansel, John Conley, Ray Acosta, Ben Taylor, James Williams, Justin Van Duyne and 44 more.
Evidence
Related context
Follow linked officials and teams to see whether adjacent samples support or contradict this pattern. Unresolved splits stay descriptive until sample gates clear.
Uncertainty
Sample: 52 games over 10 seasons (2016–2026)
Historical context
Ranked with other NBA findings by effect size and sample depth. Use the tendency index and team-with-official history table for broader crew history after reading the measured deltas above.