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NFL · Scoring extreme

17.5-point spread between hottest and coldest ref–team pairs

Highest: David Oliver on Buffalo Bills (54.1 avg). Lowest: Sarah Thomas on Cleveland Browns (36.6 avg).

Min 8 games per pair · 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26, 2026-27

Hottest avg
54.1
David Oliver · BUF
Coldest avg
36.6
Sarah Thomas · CLE
Gap
17.5
vs 41.6 league avg
Methodology
  • Findings ranked by effect size × √sample size with category deduplication.
  • Sample gates: 30+ ref games, 8+ team splits, 30+ ATS decisions where applicable.
  • Estimated closing lines disclosed where applicable, not betting advice.
  • Full methodology →