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NFL · Scoring extreme
17.5-point spread between hottest and coldest ref–team pairs
Highest: David Oliver on Buffalo Bills (54.1 avg). Lowest: Sarah Thomas on Cleveland Browns (36.6 avg).
Min 8 games per pair · 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26, 2026-27
- Hottest avg
- 54.1
- David Oliver · BUF
- Coldest avg
- 36.6
- Sarah Thomas · CLE
- Gap
- 17.5
- vs 41.6 league avg
Methodology
- Findings ranked by effect size × √sample size with category deduplication.
- Sample gates: 30+ ref games, 8+ team splits, 30+ ATS decisions where applicable.
- Estimated closing lines disclosed where applicable, not betting advice.
- Full methodology →