Tendency index, league-wide trends, and ranked dataset findings in one place.
6 findings ranked by effect size and sample size across 2021-10-16 – 2026-05-24. Descriptive historical tendencies, not betting advice.
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Showing strong-confidence findings.
5 patterns from 33 officials. Strong-confidence findings appear first; thin samples at the bottom.
Why it matters: Year-over-year context from 10 seasons in data/baselines.json (3,800 total games). League-wide baselines, not ref-specific.
From 2024-25 to 2025-26, combined goals per game held steady (-0.1 goals) while fouls fell (-0.5 fouls).
17.6% of Victor García Verdura's 51 games finish under 2.6 combined goals, 32.4 pts from a neutral 50% baseline.
Ricardo de Burgos Bengoetxea averages 21.3 fouls per game (-3.7 vs league) across 81 games, the largest whistle delta among 50+ game refs.
Victor García Verdura's 51 games average 1.9 combined points (17.6% over 2.6), one of the largest scoring deltas in the pool.
Highest: Alejandro José Hernández Hernández on Real Madrid (4.3 avg). Lowest: Alejandro José Hernández Hernández on Athletic Club (1.1 avg).