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Historical scoring and whistle tendencies across qualified officials. Descriptive associations with league baselines, not predictions. Sample: 53 officials (2021-10-20 – 2026-04-08).

Historical dataset, some metrics use estimated closing lines where noted.

Who moves the points?

The 53 referees with 30+ games, ranked by historical associations in their games.

  • Biggest scoring bump

    Pat O'Connell

    +0.9 PTS

    He averages 0.9 more combined points than the league baseline in his games.

  • Highest historical over-rate vs baseline

    JD Ralls

    75.0%

    Line benchmark is 222.4 combined points; he clears it more often than peers in this sample.

  • Heaviest fouls ref

    Brandon Adair

    +0.2

    He runs 0.2 fouls called above average per game.

13 of 53 referees associate with higher scoring. 12 associate with lower totals. Numbers describe past games, not predictions for tonight.

Click column headers to sort. Historical tendencies vs league baseline, descriptive only, not picks.

Over rate uses 222.4 combined points benchmark.

#OfficialSignals
1
Pat O'Connell#90
205+0.9-0.567.8%1 notable
2
Scott Twardoski#52
206+0.8+0.071.4%1 notable
3
Dannica Baroody#89
187+0.7+0.272.7%1 notable
4
Mousa Dagher#28
198+0.7+0.171.2%1 notable
5
Tyler Ricks#95
198+0.7+0.171.2%1 notable
6
JD Ralls#80
184+0.6+0.075.0%1 notable
7
Brett Nansel#44
194+0.5-0.170.1%1 notable
8
Aaron Smith#51
192+0.4+0.171.4%1 notable
9
Ashley Moyer-Gleich#13
182+0.4-0.168.7%1 notable
10
Jenna Schroeder#20
606+0.4+0.170.5%1 notable
11
John Goble#10
182+0.4-0.168.7%1 notable
12
Matt Myers#43
591+0.4+0.171.2%1 notable
13
Scott Foster#48
351+0.4+0.067.5%1 notable
14
Bill Kennedy#55
544+0.3+0.070.2%1 notable
15
Brian Forte#45
595+0.3-0.168.7%1 notable
16
Karl Lane#77
404+0.3+0.170.8%1 notable
17
Kevin Cutler#34
386+0.3+0.172.0%1 notable
18
Marat Kogut#32
200+0.3-0.372.0%1 notable
19
Mark Lindsay#29
396+0.3+0.069.7%1 notable
20
Che Flores#91
400+0.2+0.070.5%1 notable
21
Courtney Kirkland#61
365+0.2-0.169.3%1 notable
22
Jacyn Goble#68
799+0.2+0.070.6%1 notable
23
Pat Fraher#26
572+0.2-0.168.9%1 notable
24
Andy Nagy#83
343+0.1-0.270.0%1 notable
25
Ben Taylor#46
600+0.1+0.070.5%1 notable
26
Josh Tiven#58
382+0.1-0.268.8%1 notable
27
Sha'Rae Mitchell#98
378+0.1+0.169.8%1 notable
28
Justin Van Duyne#64
396+0.0+0.069.2%1 notable
29
Biniam Maru#94
561-0.1+0.171.5%1 notable
30
Brent Barnaky#36
367-0.1+0.068.9%1 notable
31
CJ Washington#12
194-0.1-0.470.1%1 notable
32
Marc Davis#8
199-0.1+0.069.3%1 notable
33
Nick Buchert#3
194-0.1-0.470.1%1 notable
34
Tre Maddox#23
350-0.1+0.068.6%1 notable
35
Dedric Taylor#21
353-0.2-0.165.7%1 notable
36
Ray Acosta#54
198-0.2+0.170.2%1 notable
37
Eric Dalen#37
569-0.3+0.067.5%1 notable
38
Evan Scott#78
182-0.3+0.273.6%1 notable
39
James Williams#60
564-0.3-0.269.0%1 notable
40
John Conley#56
186-0.3-0.170.4%1 notable
41
Tony Brothers#25
359-0.3+0.064.9%1 notable
42
Brandon Adair#67
406-0.5+0.270.4%1 notable
43
Natalie Sago#9
184-0.5+0.066.3%1 notable
44
James Capers#19
419-0.6+0.167.1%1 notable
45
Michael Smith#38
195-0.6+0.066.2%1 notable
46
Robert Hussey#85
224-0.6+0.267.9%1 notable
47
Eric Lewis#84
379-0.7+0.169.1%1 notable
48
John Butler#30
198-0.7-0.470.2%1 notable
49
Curtis Blair#74
372-0.8-0.166.1%1 notable
50
Phenizee Ransom#70
384-0.9+0.069.3%1 notable
51
Rodney Mott#71
180-0.9-0.265.0%1 notable
52
Gediminas Petraitis#50
408-1.2+0.067.9%1 notable
53
Jenna Reneau#93
589-1.2-0.168.8%1 notable

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