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NBA · Scoring extreme

25.4-point spread between hottest and coldest ref–team pairs

Highest: Michael Smith on Milwaukee Bucks (236 avg). Lowest: Brett Nansel on LA Clippers (210.6 avg).

Why it matters: League average is 222.4. The hot pair runs 13.6 above; the cold pair -11.8 below.

Min 8 games per ref–team pair · 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26

Hottest avg
236
Michael Smith · MIL
Coldest avg
210.6
Brett Nansel · LAC
Gap
25.4
vs 222.4 league avg
Methodology
  • Findings ranked by effect size × √sample size with category deduplication.
  • Sample gates: 30+ ref games, 8+ team splits, 30+ ATS decisions where applicable.
  • Estimated closing lines disclosed where applicable, not betting advice.
  • Full methodology →