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NBA · Ref–team split
John Butler and Atlanta Hawks: 46.0 pts above team baseline
Atlanta Hawks are 7-1 (87.5%) in 8 games with John Butler, vs a team sample baseline of 41.5%.
Why it matters: Matrix splits compare ref×team win rate to each team's overall record in this dataset. Standout cells require 8+ games; descriptive history only.
8 ref×team games · min 8 for matrix cells · 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26
- Ref×team record
- 7-1
- 8 games · 87.5%
- Team baseline
- 171-241
- 41.5% across 412 gp
- Delta vs baseline
- +46.0 pts
- Above
Methodology
- Findings ranked by effect size × √sample size with category deduplication.
- Sample gates: 30+ ref games, 8+ team splits, 30+ ATS decisions where applicable.
- Estimated closing lines disclosed where applicable, not betting advice.
- Full methodology →