← Research hub
NBA · ATS historical tendency
Rodney Mott: home teams covers 52.2% ATS
Among 180 lined games, home teams are 94-86 against the spread when Rodney Mott officiates, 2.2 pts from a neutral 50% split.
Why it matters: ATS splits require closing-line data. Where sportsbook lines are unavailable, estimated lines are used; treat as exploratory historical context only.
180 ATS decisions · estimated closing lines where needed · 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26
- Home ATS
- 94-86
- 52.2%
- Sample
- 180
- Min 30 decisive games
- Deviation vs 50%
- 2.2 pts
- Absolute deviation
Methodology
- Findings ranked by effect size × √sample size with category deduplication.
- Sample gates: 30+ ref games, 8+ team splits, 30+ ATS decisions where applicable.
- Estimated closing lines disclosed where applicable, not betting advice.
- Full methodology →