← Research hub
NBA · Ref–team split
Pat O'Connell and New Orleans Pelicans: 38.8 pts below team baseline
New Orleans Pelicans are 1-8 (11.1%) in 9 games with Pat O'Connell, vs a team sample baseline of 49.9%.
Why it matters: Matrix splits compare ref×team win rate to each team's overall record in this dataset. Standout cells require 8+ games; descriptive history only.
9 ref×team games · min 8 for matrix cells · 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26
- Ref×team record
- 1-8
- 9 games · 11.1%
- Team baseline
- 199-200
- 49.9% across 399 gp
- Delta vs baseline
- -38.8 pts
- Below
Methodology
- Findings ranked by effect size × √sample size with category deduplication.
- Sample gates: 30+ ref games, 8+ team splits, 30+ ATS decisions where applicable.
- Estimated closing lines disclosed where applicable, not betting advice.
- Full methodology →