← Research hub

NHL · O/U edge

Ghislain Hebert leans overs vs closing goal totals

Totals go overs 65.6% (143-75) across 218 lined games.

Why it matters: O/U ATS uses estimated closing totals where sportsbook data is unavailable. Min 30 decisive games required.

218 O/U decisions · estimated closing lines where needed · 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26

O/U ATS
143-75
65.6%
Sample
218
Min 30 games
Edge vs 50%
15.6 pts
Leans overs
Methodology
  • Findings ranked by effect size × √sample size with category deduplication.
  • Sample gates: 30+ ref games, 8+ team splits, 30+ ATS decisions where applicable.
  • Estimated closing lines disclosed where applicable, not betting advice.
  • Full methodology →