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EPL · Ref outlier
Thomas Bramall leads the pool on under frequency
43.1% of Thomas Bramall's 51 games finish under 2.5 combined goals, 6.9 pts from a neutral 50% baseline.
50+ game sample · 2016-17, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26
- Over benchmark
- 43.1%
- 51 games
- Avg combined total
- 2.6
- -0.3 vs league
- Delta vs 50%
- 6.9 pts
- Leans under
Methodology
- Findings ranked by effect size × √sample size with category deduplication.
- Sample gates: 30+ ref games, 8+ team splits, 30+ ATS decisions where applicable.
- Estimated closing lines disclosed where applicable, not betting advice.
- Full methodology →