Today
See who is officiating today and how their historical tendencies may shape the game environment.
Today's officiating outlook
Today's games
9 games5 crews announced1 strong whistle signalsLast updated 6:00 PM
Featured game
Featured because this game is live right now
Comparable-game read · Updates until tip-off freeze is captured
Officiating crew
Announced6 officials listedTrawick Boger · Derick Bowers · Greg Steed · Roy Ellison · Julian Mapp · Glen Fucik
What to expect
Scoring looks near the league average
Similar past games averaged 45.4 total points, compared with 46.0 across NFL.
Similar games
120 similar games
Points in similar games
45.4
total points per game
NFL average 46.0
≈0.6 fewer points than NFL average
Flags in similar games
12.5
flags per game
NFL average 12.5
≈Near NFL average
How often similar games finished over the closing total
54.9%
About 1 in 2 similar games
How are similar games chosen?
Similar games are past matches selected because they share the factors Ref Watch uses for this projection.
- Assigned officiating crew history
- NFL league context
- Team scoring and card or foul patterns with these officials
- Recent comparable games in Ref Watch's database
120 similar games meet Ref Watch's minimum sample for this crew-based outlook.
Team trends with today's officials
- +29.7 pp
Washington Commanders with Roy Ellison
vs Washington Commanders baseline of 41.7%Limited sample - +18.5 pp
Detroit Lions with Derick Bowers
vs Detroit Lions baseline of 48.2%Above normal team win rate
16 team-official games in sample
Key patterns in the data
Washington Commanders with Roy Ellison
+29.7 pp vs usual record · 7 games
Tonight
Aug 22
Comparable-game read · Updates until tip-off freeze is captured
Scoring looks near the league average
Similar games
10 similar games
Goals in similar games
2.7
total goals per game
Premier League average 2.5
≈Near Premier League average
Cards in similar games
20.3
cards per game
Premier League average 22.3
2 fewer cards than Premier League average
Similar past games averaged 2.7 total goals, compared with 2.5 across Premier League.
How often similar games finished over the closing total
50.0%
About 1 in 2 similar games
How reliable is this projection?
Only 18% of the last 50 cards projections finished within 1 cards of the estimate
This is a strict backtest on cards using only games before tip-off. Use it as a sanity check, not a guarantee.
Crews not yet announced
Aug 22
12:30 PM EDT
Historical matchup context
Crew-specific profile unavailable until assignments publish.
Historical context
Crew analysis will appear when assignments are confirmed.
Aug 22
12:30 PM EDT
Historical matchup context
Crew-specific profile unavailable until assignments publish.
Historical context
Crew analysis will appear when assignments are confirmed.
Recently completed
Aug 22
CRY 0, EVE 2
Aug 22
LEE 1, NFO 0
Aug 22
SUN 1, IPS 2
Aug 22
SEV 3, ATH 1
Aug 22
AUX 2, RCL 5
How our projections held up
Quick post-game checks on foul volume and scoring environment against what we flagged pregame.
Before Indiana Fever at Toronto Tempo on Aug 18, 2026, Ref Watch projected ~39.3 fouls and a ~167.4-point total from historical crew and matchup data. Foul volume ran below the pregame estimate (37 personal fouls vs ~39.3 projected) (19 Indiana Fever, 18 Toronto Tempo, plus 2 technicals), and scoring finished above the ~167.4-point baseline (196 combined).
